Report for Model 14

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.01       1.03
## dh0           1.00       1.01
## dl0           1.02       1.08
## dl1           1.00       1.00
## dl2           1.02       1.07
## dl3           1.01       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1400.01617 22514.3874
DIC3 1263.97010 22364.9118
PWAIC 96.12173 315.1836
WAIC 1337.25313 22400.9252

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum          1       1.00
## dh0              1       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0b
DIC 1398.25506
DIC3 1261.37844
PWAIC 95.79572
WAIC 1334.86191

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.04       1.18
## dl0           1.09       1.34
## dl1           1.04       1.19
## dl2           1.14       1.51
## dl3           1.01       1.05
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.09

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L7a
DIC 22316.9670
DIC3 22315.8133
PWAIC 314.9939
WAIC 22351.8358